Summary The most likely range for 3-month bill yields in 10 years remained at the 1% to 2% range this week. The probability of...
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SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, February 13, 2026: 3-Month Bill 3.68% Today, 1%-2% Range in 30 Months
Summary The most likely range for 3-month bill yields in 10 years remained at the 1% to 2% range this week. The probability of...
SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, February 6, 2026: 3-Month Bill Rate’s 30-Month Decline to 1%-2% Range
Summary The most likely range for 3-month bill yields in 10 years remained at the 1% to 2% range this week. The probability of...
SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, January 30, 2026: Long-term Peak in 1-Month Forward Rates Up 0.12% to 6.03%
Summary The most likely range for 3-month bill yields in 10 years remained at the 1% to 2% range this week. The probability of...
SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, January 23, 2026: Most Likely 3-Month Bill Rate Shows Steady Decline
Summary The most likely range for 3-month bill yields in 10 years remained at the 1% to 2% range this week. The probability of...
SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, January 16, 2026: Most Likely Range for 3-Month T-Bill Rate 10 Years Forward Unchanged at 1% to 2%
Summary The most likely range for 3-month bill yields in 10 years remained at the 1% to 2% range this week. The probability of...
SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, January 9, 2026: 50,000 No-Arbitrage Heath Jarrow and Morton Yield Scenarios
Summary The most likely range for 3-month bill yields in 10 years remained at the 1% to 2% range this week. The probability of...
SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, January 2, 2026: Measuring the Term Premium in U.S. Treasuries
Summary The most likely range for 3-month bill yields in 10 years remained at the 1% to 2% range this week. The probability of...
SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, December 26, 2025: Yield Level Probabilities from 6 Months to 10 Years
Summary The most likely range for 3-month bill yields in 10 years remained at the 1% to 2% range this week. The probability of...
SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, December 12, 2025: Peak in 1-Month Treasury Bill Forwards Up to 6.25%
Summary Despite the Fed’s rate cut, the most likely range for 3-month bill yields in 10 years remained at the 1% to 2% range...
SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, December 5, 2025: Peak in 1-Month Treasury Bill Forwards Up to 6.06%
Summary The charts below allow any investor to calculate the probability that 3-month and 10-year Treasury yields are over or...
SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, November 28, 2025: Quantifying the 10-Year Decline in 3-Month Yields
Summary The charts below allow any investor to calculate the probability that 3-month and 10-year Treasury yields are over or...