Summary Treasury 2-year yields moved to 3.89% this week from 3.97% last week. At 10 years, this week’s yield is 4.27%, compared...
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SAS Weekly Bund Yield and Euro Simulation, March 21, 2025: Median Scenario One Year Forward for the Euro is 1.0855
Summary The 2-year/10-year Bund spread closed the week at a positive 0.631%, a change from 0.692% last week. As a result,...
SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, March 21, 2025: Most Likely Range for 3-Month Yield Reverts to 0% to 1% in 2035
Summary Treasury 2-year yields moved to 3.94% this week from 3.95% last week. At 10 years, this week’s yield is 4.25%, compared...
SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, March 14, 2025: Most Likely Range for 3-Month Yield Rises to 1% to 2% in 2035
Summary Treasury 2-year yields moved to 4.02% this week from 3.99% last week. At 10 years, this week’s yield is 4.31%, compared...
SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, March 7, 2025: Long-run 1-Month Forward Rates Up 0.22%
Summary Treasury 2-year yields moved to 3.99% this week from 3.99% last week. At 10 years, this week’s yield is 4.32%, compared...
SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, February 14, 2024: Most Likely Range for 10-Year Yield is 2% to 3% in 2035
Summary Treasury 2-year yields moved to 4.26% this week from 4.31% last week. At 10 years, this week’s yield is 4.47%, compared...
SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, February 7, 2024: 2-Year/10-Year Spread Narrows to 0.20%
Summary Treasury 2-year yields moved to 4.29% this week from 4.22% last week. At 10 years, this week’s yield is 4.49%, compared...
SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, January 31, 2024: Term Premium for Going Long is Significant
Summary Treasury 2-year yields moved to 4.22% this week from 4.27% last week. At 10 years, this week’s yield is 4.58%, compared...
SAS Weekly Treasury Forecast, January 24, 2024: 46.71% Default Probability for a Bank Holding 10-Year Treasuries with 5% Equity
Summary Over the last week, Treasury 2-year yields moved to 4.27% this week from 4.29% last week. At 10 years, this week’s yield...
SAS Weekly Treasury Forecast, January 17, 2024, With Downloadable Scenario Summaries
Summary Over the last week, Treasury 2-year yields moved to 4.27% this week from 4.4% last week. At 10 years, this week’s yield...
SAS Weekly Treasury Forecast, January 10, 2024: Most Likely Range for 3-Month Bills On a Knife Edge, 0% to 1% or 1% to 2%?
Summary Over the last week, Treasury 2-year yields moved to 4.4% this week from 4.28% last week. At 10 years, this week’s yield...
SAS Weekly Treasury Forecast, January 3, 2024: Steepening Yield Slope is a Prelude to Lower Yields
Summary Over the last week, Treasury 2-year yields moved to 4.28% this week from 4.25% last week. At 10 years, this week’s yield...