Summary The most likely range for 3-month bill yields in 10 years remained the 1% to 2% range this week. The probability of...
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SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, November 7, 2025: Most Likely Range for 3-Month T-Bill Ten Years Forward Moves up 1%
Summary The most likely range for 3-month bill yields in 10 years moved up to the 1% to 2% range this week. The probability of...
SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, October 31, 2025: One-Month Forward T-Bill Rates Peak at 5.85%, Up 0.16%
Summary The most likely range for 3-month bill yields in 10 years remained in the 0% to 1% range this week. The probability of...
SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, October 17, 2025: Ten Year Range for the 3-Month Bill Yield 0% to 2%
Summary The most likely range for 3-month bill yields in 10 years remained in the 0% to 1% range this week. The probability of...
SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, October 10, 2025: Measuring the Impact of the China Rare Earth Love Letter
Summary Treasury yields dropped more in response to a letter from China than they did in reaction to Jerome Powell’s too-late...
SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, October 3, 2025: 0% to 2% Range Most Likely for 3-Month Bill Rate in 10 Years
Summary The most likely range for 3-month bill yields in 10 years moved back to the 1% to 2% range this week. The probability of...
SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, September 26, 2025: Most Likely Level for 3-Month Bill Rate in 10 Years Reverts to the 0% to 1% Range
Summary The most likely range for 3-month bill yields in 10 years edged into the 0% to 1% range this week. The probability of...
SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, September 19, 2025: Fed Rate Changes are the Tail, Not the Dog
Summary This week’s Treasury yield simulation showed little change from last week, confirming the view of many market...
SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, September 12, 2025: 44% Probability 3-Month Bill Rate in 10 Years is in 0% to 2% Range
Summary The most likely range for 3-month bill yields in 10 years remained in the 0% to 1% range. The probability of being in...
SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, September 5, 2025: Most Likely Range for 3-Month Bill Rate in 10 Years Drops to 0% to 1% Range
Summary The most likely range for 3-month bill yields in 10 years edged down to the 0% to 1% range, down from 1% to 2% last...
SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, August 29, 2025: Steady Rate Cuts Ahead
Summary The most likely range for 3-month bill yields falls to the 1% to 2% range within 30 months according to this week’s...
SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, August 22, 2025: 30 Months of Rate Cuts
Summary The most likely range for 3-month bill yields falls to the 1% to 2% range within 30 months according to this week’s...