Donald R. van Deventer First Version: January 24, 2022 This Version: January 25, 2022 ABSTRACT Please note: Kamakura...
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Kamakura Weekly Forecast, January 21, 2022: U.S. Treasury Probabilities 10 Years Forward
This week’s simulation shows that the most likely range for the 3-month U.S. Treasury bill yield in ten years is from 0% to 1%. ...
How Well Do U.S. Treasury Yields Forecast Inflation? An Update Through December 31, 2021
Donald R. van Deventer January 18, 2022 With inflation obviously on the rise, any rational investor should be asking “How well...
Kamakura Weekly Forecast, January 14, 2022: U.S. Treasury Probabilities 10 Years Forward
This week’s simulation shows that the most likely range for the 3-month U.S. Treasury bill yield in ten years is from 0% to 1%. ...
Kamakura Weekly Forecast January 7, 2022: U.S. Treasury Probabilities 10 Years Forward
This week’s simulation shows that the most likely range for the 3-month U.S. Treasury bill yield in ten years is from 0% to 1%. ...
A 15-Factor Heath, Jarrow, and Morton Stochastic Volatility Model for the United Kingdom Government Bond Yield Curve, Using Daily Data from January 2, 1979 through November 30, 2021
A 15-Factor Heath, Jarrow, and Morton Stochastic Volatility Model for the United Kingdom Government Bond Yield Curve, Using...
The Valuation of Corporate Coupon Bonds∗
Jens Hilscher†, Robert A. Jarrow‡, and Donald R. van Deventer§ January 3, 2022 Abstract This paper shows that, for a sample of...
Kamakura Weekly Forecast, December 31, 2021: U.S. Treasury Probabilities 10 Years Forward
This week’s simulation shows that the most likely range for the 3-month U.S. Treasury bill yield in ten years is from 0% to 1%. ...
Kamakura Weekly Forecast, December 23, 2021: U.S. Treasury Probabilities 10 Years Forward
This week’s simulation shows that the most likely range for the 3-month U.S. Treasury bill yield in ten years is from 0% to 1%. ...
Kamakura Weekly Forecast, December 17, 2021: U.S. Treasury Probabilities 10 Years Forward
This week’s simulation shows that the most likely range for the 3-month U.S. Treasury bill yield in ten years is from 0% to 1%. ...
Kamakura Weekly Forecast, December 10, 2021: U.S. Treasury Probabilities 10 Years Forward
This week’s simulation shows that the most likely range for the 3-month U.S. Treasury bill yield in ten years is from 0% to 1%. ...
An 8-Factor Heath, Jarrow, and Morton Stochastic Volatility Model for the Japanese Government Bond Yield Curve, Using Daily Data from September 24, 1974 through November 30, 2021
Donald R. van Deventer[1] First Version: December 6, 2021 This Version: December 7, 2021 ABSTRACT Please note: Kamakura...