Donald R. van Deventer[1] First Version: March 8, 2022 This Version: March 8, 2022 ABSTRACT Please note: Kamakura Corporation...
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Kamakura Weekly Forecast, March 11, 2022: Inverted Yields, Negative Rates, and U.S. Treasury Probabilities 10 Years Forward
In this week’s forecast, the focus is on three elements of interest rate behavior: the probability of the recession-predicting...
A 7-Factor Heath, Jarrow, and Morton Stochastic Volatility Model for the Government of Canada Yield Curve, Using Daily Data from January 2, 2001 through February 28, 2022
Donald R. van Deventer[1] First Version: March 8, 2022 This Version: March 8, 2022 ABSTRACT Please note: Kamakura Corporation...
Kamakura Weekly Forecast, March 4, 2022: U.S. Treasury Probabilities 10 Years Forward
This week’s simulation shows that the most likely range for the 3-month U.S. Treasury bill yield in ten years is from 0% to 1%. ...
Kamakura Weekly Forecast, February 25, 2022: U.S. Treasury Probabilities 10 Years Forward
This week’s simulation shows that the most likely range for the 3-month U.S. Treasury bill yield in ten years is from 0% to 1%. ...
An 11-Factor Heath, Jarrow, and Morton Stochastic Volatility Model for the Thailand Government Securities Yield Curve, Using Daily Data from September 15, 1999 through October 31, 2021
Donald R. van Deventer[1] First Version: February 22, 2022 This Version: February 23, 2022 ABSTRACT Please note: Kamakura...
Kamakura Weekly Forecast, February 18, 2022: U.S. Treasury Probabilities 10 Years Forward
This week’s simulation shows that the most likely range for the 3-month U.S. Treasury bill yield in ten years is from 0% to 1%. ...
Kamakura Weekly Forecast, February 11, 2022: U.S. Treasury Probabilities 10 Years Forward
This week’s simulation shows that the most likely range for the 3-month U.S. Treasury bill yield in ten years is from 0% to 1%. ...
Kamakura Weekly Forecast, February 4, 2022: U.S. Treasury Probabilities 10 Years Forward
This week’s simulation shows that the most likely range for the 3-month U.S. Treasury bill yield in ten years is from 0% to 1%. ...
Kamakura Weekly Forecast, January 28, 2022: U.S. Treasury Probabilities 10 Years Forward
This week’s simulation shows that the most likely range for the 3-month U.S. Treasury bill yield in ten years is from 0% to 1%. ...
A 10-Factor Heath, Jarrow, and Morton Stochastic Volatility Model for the U.S. Treasury Yield Curve, Using Daily Data from January 1, 1962 through December 31, 2021
Donald R. van Deventer First Version: January 24, 2022 This Version: January 25, 2022 ABSTRACT Please note: Kamakura...
Kamakura Weekly Forecast, January 21, 2022: U.S. Treasury Probabilities 10 Years Forward
This week’s simulation shows that the most likely range for the 3-month U.S. Treasury bill yield in ten years is from 0% to 1%. ...