Summary The most likely range for 3-month bill yields is again the 1% to 2% range, just 10 basis points more likely than the 0%...
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SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, April 17, 2025: Most Likely Range for 3-Month Bills in 10 Years Stable at 1% to 2%
Summary The most likely range for 3-month bill yields edged into the 1% to 2% range, just 1 basis point more likely than the 0%...
SAS Weekly Japanese Government Bond and Yen Simulation, April 11, 2025: One-month Forward Bill Rates Jump 0.61% at 30 Years
Summary The median level for the yen-U.S. dollar exchange rate is 145.18 one year from now, compared to 148.58 last week,...
SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, April 11, 2025: Most Likely Range for 3-Month Bills in 10 Years Rises to 1% to 2%
Summary The most likely range for 3-month bill yields edged into the 1% to 2% range, just 1 basis point more likely than the 0%...
SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, April 4, 2025: Impacts of the Tariff Shocks
Summary Treasury 2-year yields moved to 3.68% this week from 3.89% last week. At 10 years, this week’s yield is 4.01%, compared...
SAS Weekly New Zealand Dollar and Treasury Bond Yield Simulation, March 28, 2025: Implications of a Steepening Yield Curve
Summary One-month forward New Zealand Treasury Bond rates peaked at 6.27% this week, compared to 5.87% the previous week. The...
SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, March 21, 2025: Measuring the Risk and Reward from Going Long
Summary Treasury 2-year yields moved to 3.89% this week from 3.97% last week. At 10 years, this week’s yield is 4.27%, compared...
SAS Weekly Bund Yield and Euro Simulation, March 21, 2025: Median Scenario One Year Forward for the Euro is 1.0855
Summary The 2-year/10-year Bund spread closed the week at a positive 0.631%, a change from 0.692% last week. As a result,...
SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, March 21, 2025: Most Likely Range for 3-Month Yield Reverts to 0% to 1% in 2035
Summary Treasury 2-year yields moved to 3.94% this week from 3.95% last week. At 10 years, this week’s yield is 4.25%, compared...
SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, March 14, 2025: Most Likely Range for 3-Month Yield Rises to 1% to 2% in 2035
Summary Treasury 2-year yields moved to 4.02% this week from 3.99% last week. At 10 years, this week’s yield is 4.31%, compared...
SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, March 7, 2025: Long-run 1-Month Forward Rates Up 0.22%
Summary Treasury 2-year yields moved to 3.99% this week from 3.99% last week. At 10 years, this week’s yield is 4.32%, compared...
SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, February 14, 2024: Most Likely Range for 10-Year Yield is 2% to 3% in 2035
Summary Treasury 2-year yields moved to 4.26% this week from 4.31% last week. At 10 years, this week’s yield is 4.47%, compared...