The Heath, Jarrow and Morton [1992] framework for simulation and valuation using risk-free interest rates has been called “the...
CONNECT ME
SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, September 11 2026: Probability of 3-Month Bill Yield Over 4% in One Year Up 8% to 74%
Summary The probability that the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasuries is over 5% in one year is up 7% to 35% today. The probability...
SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, September 4, 2026: Probability of 3-Month Bill Yield Over 4% in One Year Up 22% to 66%
Summary The probability that the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasuries is over 5% in one year is 28% today. The probability that the...
HJM++© Correlated Government Yield and Foreign Exchange Rate Simulations for Asia-Pacific, Europe and North America, August 28, 2026
The Heath, Jarrow and Morton [1992] framework for simulation and valuation using risk-free interest rates has been called “the...
SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, August 28, 2026: Probability of 3-Month Bill Yield Over 4% in One Year Up 6% to 44%
Summary The probability that the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasuries is over 5% in one year is 28% today. The most likely range for...
HJM++© Correlated Government Yield and Foreign Exchange Rate Simulations for Asia-Pacific, Europe and North America, August 21, 2026
The Heath, Jarrow and Morton [1992] framework for simulation and valuation using risk-free interest rates has been called “the...
SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, August 21 2026: Probability of 3-Month Bill Yield Over 4% in One Year Jumps 7% to 38%
Summary The most likely range for 3-month bill yields in 10 years remained at the 1% to 2% range this week. The probability of...
HJM++© Correlated Government Yield and Foreign Exchange Rate Simulations for Asia-Pacific, Europe and North America, August 14, 2026
The Heath, Jarrow and Morton [1992] framework for simulation and valuation using risk-free interest rates has been called “the...
SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, August 14, 2026: Probability of 3-Month Bill Yield Over 4% in One Year Drops 4% to 31%
Summary The most likely range for 3-month bill yields in 10 years remained at the 1% to 2% range this week. The probability of...
SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, August 7, 2026: Probability of 3-Month Bill Yield Over 4% in One Year Drops 19% to 35%
Summary The most likely range for 3-month bill yields in 10 years remained at the 1% to 2% range this week. The probability of...
SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, July 31, 2026: 54% Probability of 3-Month Bill Yield Over 4% in One Year
Summary The most likely range for 3-month bill yields in 10 years remained at the 1% to 2% range this week. The probability of...
SAS Weekly Treasury Simulation, July 24, 2026: 53% Probability of 3-Month Bill Yield Over 4% in One Year
Summary The most likely range for 3-month bill yields in 10 years remained at the 1% to 2% range this week. The probability of...