The 1-month forward U.S. Treasury yield now peaks at 5.46%, down 20 basis points from last week. As explained in Prof. Robert...
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A 10-Factor Heath, Jarrow, and Morton Stochastic Volatility Model for the U.S. Treasury Yield Curve, Using Daily Data from January 1, 1962 through September 30, 2022
Daniel Dickler, Robert Jarrow, Stas Melnikov, Alexandre Telnov, Donald R. van Deventer and Xiaoming Wang[1] First Version:...
SAS Weekly Forecast, October 21, 2022: Treasury 1-Month Forward Rate Peak Jumps 0.41% to 5.66%
The 1-month forward U.S. Treasury yield now peaks at 5.66%, up 41 basis points from last week. As explained in Prof. Robert...
![The Valuation and Hedging of Non-Maturity Deposits In Multi-Factor Interest Rate Models[1]](https://www.kamakuraco.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/HJM-ZeroCouponBondYields-400x250.png)
The Valuation and Hedging of Non-Maturity Deposits In Multi-Factor Interest Rate Models[1]
Source: Wall Street Journal, September 13, 2022 Robert A. Jarrow, Stas Melnikov, Warren Sherman, Donald R. van Deventer and...
SAS Weekly Forecast, October 14, 2022: Treasury 1-Month Forward Rate Peak Up 0.32% to 5.25%
The 1-month forward U.S. Treasury yield now peaks at 5.25%, up 32 basis points from last week. As explained in Prof. Robert...
SAS Weekly Forecast, October 7, 2022: Near-term Forward Rate Peak up 0.31% to 4.84%
The near-term forward 1-month U.S. Treasury yield now peaks at 4.84%, up 31 basis points from last week. As explained in Prof....
The Risks of Curing Inflation
Kamakura Troubled Company Index Increases by 0.89% to 8.53% Credit Quality Declines to the 95th Percentile NEW YORK, October 3,...
SAS Weekly Forecast, September 30, 2022: Market Rate Expectations Step Up
Using daily Treasury data from 1962, this week’s simulation shows a step up in market expectations gleaned from a rational...