Politics Meet Economics NEW YORK, March 2, 2023: February 24 marked the one-year anniversary of the war between Russia and...
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Even Soft Landings Are Bumpy
Even Soft Landings Are Bumpy NEW YORK, February 3, 2023: As February began, the Federal Reserve slowed its rate-tightening with...
What the Markets got Wrong in 2022. Will They Get It Right in 2023?
What the Markets got Wrong in 2022 Will They Get It Right in 2023? Kamakura Troubled Company Index Decreases by 0.19% to 8.01%...
Navigating An Uncharted Path
Navigating An Uncharted Path Kamakura Troubled Company Index Decreases by 0.13% to 8.20% Credit Quality Improves Slightly to the...
Financial Market Fragility
Financial Market Fragility Kamakura Troubled Company Index Decreases by 0.07% to 8.46% Credit Quality Remains at the 95th...
The Risks of Curing Inflation
Kamakura Troubled Company Index Increases by 0.89% to 8.53% Credit Quality Declines to the 95th Percentile NEW YORK, October 3,...
The Post Covid Economy: 8.41% of Rated Firms Expected to Default in the Next Decade
Kamakura Troubled Company Index Decreases by 0.54% to 7.61% Credit Quality Improves to the 99th Percentile NEW YORK, September...
Kamakura Weekly Forecast, August 12, 2022: Negative 2-year/10-year Spread, Trading Day 28
Inverted Yields, Negative Rates, and U.S. Treasury Probabilities 10 Years Forward The market has now had a month to adjust to...
Kamakura Weekly Forecast, August 5, 2022: 2-year 10-year Spread Negative for 23rd Trading Day in a Row
Inverted Yields, Negative Rates, and U.S. Treasury Probabilities 10 Years Forward The market has now had more than three weeks...
How Will a Slowing Economy Impact Credit Defaults?
How Will a Slowing Economy Impact Credit Defaults? Kamakura Troubled Company Index Decreases by 1.38% to 5.56% Credit Quality...
Kamakura Weekly Forecast, July 29, 2022: 2-year 10-year Spread Negative for 18th Trading Day in a Row
Inverted Yields, Negative Rates, and U.S. Treasury Probabilities 10 Years Forward The market has now had more than two weeks to...
Kamakura Weekly Forecast, July 15, 2022: 2-year 10-year Treasury Spread Negative 20 Basis Points
Inverted Yields, Negative Rates, and U.S. Treasury Probabilities 10 Years Forward Friday was the eighth day of inverted Treasury...