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10 Year Forecast of U.S. Treasury Yields And U.S. Dollar Interest Rate Swap Spreads
Today’s forecast for U.S. Treasury yields is based on the May 26, 2011 constant maturity Treasury yields that were reported by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System in its H15 Statistical Release at 4:15 pm May 27, 2011. The “forecast” is the implied future coupon bearing U.S. Treasury yields derived using the maximum smoothness forward rate smoothing approach developed by Adams and van Deventer (Journal of Fixed Income, 1994) and corrected in van Deventer and Imai, Financial Risk Analytics (1996). For an electronic delivery of this interest rate data in Kamakura Risk Manager table format, please subscribe via info@kamakuraco.com.

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Today’s blog focuses on the consolidated funding shortfall experienced by Bank of America and two companies profiled in earlier blogs, Merrill Lynch and Countrywide Financial Corporation. In previous blogs, we have analyzed the funding shortfalls for each company separately, but in this blog we consolidate them to show clearly how the announcements of acquisitions of Countrywide and Merrill Lynch dramatically increased the funding shortfall at Bank of America.

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Today’s blog focuses on the funding shortfall experienced by Merrill Lynch in 2008 and 2009. Like Countrywide, the nation’s largest U.S. mortgage lender at the time, Merrill Lynch’s situation provides a classic case study of a near-death liquidity crisis, even after the announcement of its acquisition by Bank of America.

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10 Year Forecast of U.S. Treasury Yields And U.S. Dollar Interest Rate Swap Spreads
Today’s forecast for U.S. Treasury yields is based on the May 19, 2011 constant maturity Treasury yields that were reported by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System in its H15 Statistical Release at 4:15 pm May 20, 2011. The “forecast” is the implied future coupon bearing U.S. Treasury yields derived using the maximum smoothness forward rate smoothing approach developed by Adams and van Deventer (Journal of Fixed Income, 1994) and corrected in van Deventer and Imai, Financial Risk Analytics (1996). For an electronic delivery of this interest rate data in Kamakura Risk Manager table format, please subscribe via info@kamakuraco.com.

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Today’s blog focuses on the funding shortfall experienced by Countrywide Financial in 2008. Countrywide, the nation’s largest U.S. mortgage lender at the time, provides a classic case study of a near-death liquidity crisis, even after the announcement of its acquisition by Bank of America.

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